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| id | instrument | forecastDate | targetDate | targetTimeframe | compositePrice | compositeLow | compositeHigh | compositeConfidence | status | actualClose | error | errorPercent | references |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PF001 | USD_SGD | 2026-03-13 | 2026-03-27 | 2-4 weeks | 1.265 | 1.245 | 1.293 | medium-high | active | - | - | - | EV008,EV009,EV010 |
| track | method | predictedPrice | predictedLow | predictedHigh | confidence | weight | reasoning | references |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fundamental | Probability-weighted scenario analysis: Base 55% (1.260), Bull SGD 20% (1.245), Bear USD 25% (1.293) | 1.265 | 1.245 | 1.293 | high | 0.55 | MAS structural appreciation + SG GDP outperformance + US stagflation create decisive bearish fundamental case; early Consolidation phase gives fundamentals 0.9 trust weight | EV008,EV009,EV010,EV001 |
| technical | Pattern-based targets: bearish primary 1.250 (descending channel + bear flag), bullish primary 1.298-1.300 (double bottom) | 1.263 | 1.25 | 1.3 | medium | 0.45 | Bearish bias from institutional selling velocity (0.67 ratio), 6-week base 1.265-1.285 likely to break lower; S/R trust 0.9 makes 1.265 support the key level | EV008,EV012 |