US10Y — Forecasts & Attribution
Analysis date: 2026-03-13
Price Attribution
No point-in-time snapshots generated yet.
Price Forecasts
| id | instrument | forecastDate | targetDate | targetTimeframe | compositePrice | compositeLow | compositeHigh | compositeConfidence | status | actualClose | error | errorPercent | references |
|---|
| PF001 | USB10Y_USD | 2026-03-13 | 2026-03-21 | 6 trading days | 110.75 | 110 | 111.5 | medium | active | - | - | - | EV007,EV008,EV002 |
PF001
| track | method | predictedPrice | predictedLow | predictedHigh | confidence | weight | reasoning | references |
|---|
| fundamental | supply-demand-decomposition | 110.5 | 109.7 | 111 | medium | 40 | Inflation + oil shock + weak auctions = yields grind higher | EV007,EV008,EV002 |
| technical | velocity-pattern | 110.75 | 110.5 | 111 | high | 35 | Downtrend intact; bear flag measured move to 110.5 | - |
| regime | inflation-scare-regime | 110.5 | 109 | 112 | medium | 25 | Inflation Scare regime active; yields biased higher until catalyst fades | EV007,EV008 |